NFL Wins Pool Update
Last updated January 02, 2024
Standings
| Rank | Team | Wins | Remaining Games | Win % | Win % Rank | Projected Wins (FPI) | Projected Rank (FPI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nick Boucher | 33 | 3 | 68.8% | 1 | 34.8 | 1 |
| 2 | Mike Thorne | 31 | 3 | 64.6% | 2 | 33.1 | 2 |
| 3 | Andrew Batchelor | 26 | 3 | 54.2% | 3 | 27.4 | 3 |
| 4 | Gavin Gray | 25 | 3 | 52.1% | 4 | 26.7 | 4 |
| 5 | Luke Phelan | 24 | 3 | 50.0% | 5 | 25.6 | 6 |
| 5 | Matt Hogel | 24 | 3 | 50.0% | 5 | 25.7 | 5 |
| 7 | Andrew Moeller | 23 | 3 | 47.9% | 7 | 23.9 | 7 |
| 8 | Dan Ellenberger | 21 | 3 | 43.8% | 8 | 22.3 | 8 |
| 8 | Karl Loiseau | 21 | 3 | 43.8% | 8 | 22.3 | 8 |
| 10 | Steve Creaser | 15 | 3 | 31.2% | 10 | 16.3 | 10 |
- Projected wins taken from ESPN FPI projections.
Expanded Standings
| Team | Wins |
Projected Wins |
Next Opponent |
Win Probability in Next Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Boucher | ||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 13 | 13.8 | PIT | 0.38 |
| Cleveland Browns | 11 | 11.5 | CIN | 0.30 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 9 | 9.5 | HOU | 0.45 |
| Mike Thorne | ||||
| San Francisco 49ers | 12 | 12.7 | LA | 0.62 |
| Detroit Lions | 11 | 11.7 | MIN | 0.61 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 8 | 8.7 | CAR | 0.69 |
| Andrew Batchelor | ||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 10 | 10.8 | LAC | 0.39 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 9 | 9.3 | SF | 0.38 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 7 | 7.3 | DET | 0.39 |
| Gavin Gray | ||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 11 | 11.8 | NYG | 0.69 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 7 | 7.4 | NO | 0.38 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 7 | 7.5 | DEN | 0.59 |
| Luke Phelan | ||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 11 | 11.8 | WAS | 0.87 |
| Green Bay Packers | 8 | 8.6 | CHI | 0.61 |
| New York Giants | 5 | 5.2 | PHI | 0.31 |
| Matt Hogel | ||||
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 9 | 9.7 | TEN | 0.69 |
| New Orleans Saints | 8 | 8.6 | ATL | 0.62 |
| Chicago Bears | 7 | 7.4 | GB | 0.39 |
| Andrew Moeller | ||||
| Buffalo Bills | 10 | 10.5 | MIA | 0.61 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 9 | 9.2 | BAL | 0.62 |
| Washington Commanders | 4 | 4.2 | DAL | 0.13 |
| Dan Ellenberger | ||||
| Miami Dolphins | 11 | 11.5 | BUF | 0.39 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 8 | 8.5 | CLE | 0.70 |
| Carolina Panthers | 2 | 2.3 | TB | 0.31 |
| Karl Loiseau | ||||
| Denver Broncos | 8 | 8.5 | LV | 0.41 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 8 | 8.6 | ARI | 0.59 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 5 | 5.2 | KC | 0.61 |
| Steve Creaser | ||||
| New York Jets | 6 | 6.5 | NE | 0.43 |
| Tennessee Titans | 5 | 5.3 | JAX | 0.31 |
| New England Patriots | 4 | 4.5 | NYJ | 0.57 |
- Win probability calculated from covers.com odds
Weekly Head-to-Heads
Leverage measured by:
* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first
place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely
contested
Strength of Schedule in the coming weeks
Draft Analysis
| Team | Wins |
Draft Spot |
Expected Wins |
Performance vs. Expectation |
Better Choices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Boucher | |||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 13 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| Cleveland Browns | 11 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 9 | 28 | 5 | 4 | 0 |
| Mike Thorne | |||||
| San Francisco 49ers | 12 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 1 |
| Detroit Lions | 11 | 13 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 8 | 30 | 4 | 4 | 1 |
| Andrew Batchelor | |||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 10 | 2 | 12 | -2 | 6 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 7 | 16 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
| Los Angeles Rams | 9 | 29 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| Gavin Gray | |||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 11 | 1 | 13 | -2 | 2 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 7 | 20 | 8 | -1 | 6 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 7 | 27 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
| Luke Phelan | |||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 11 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 1 |
| New York Giants | 5 | 19 | 8 | -3 | 8 |
| Green Bay Packers | 8 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 3 |
| Matt Hogel | |||||
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 9 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 3 |
| New Orleans Saints | 8 | 14 | 9 | -1 | 5 |
| Chicago Bears | 7 | 23 | 7 | 0 | 4 |
| Andrew Moeller | |||||
| Buffalo Bills | 10 | 4 | 11 | -1 | 5 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 9 | 18 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| Washington Commanders | 4 | 25 | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| Dan Ellenberger | |||||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 8 | 5 | 11 | -3 | 9 |
| Miami Dolphins | 11 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| Carolina Panthers | 2 | 26 | 5 | -3 | 6 |
| Karl Loiseau | |||||
| Los Angeles Chargers | 5 | 8 | 10 | -5 | 16 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 8 | 17 | 8 | 0 | 4 |
| Denver Broncos | 8 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 3 |
| Steve Creaser | |||||
| New York Jets | 6 | 10 | 9 | -3 | 16 |
| Tennessee Titans | 5 | 12 | 9 | -4 | 15 |
| New England Patriots | 4 | 24 | 7 | -3 | 5 |
Draft Results
